This week the BOM updated its ENSO Wrap-Up on the current state of the Pacific and Indian Oceans and noted that all eight of the surveyed international climate models indicate the central Pacific Ocean will warm further during the coming months. That's as strong a pointer as you an get that an El Niño is on the way bringing with it higher than normal world emperatures.
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So the ENSO Tracker remains at El Niño ALERT. This means the likelihood of El Niño developing in 2015 is around 70%, which is three times the normal likelihood.