No evidence in the latest opinion polls that Labor is on the way to certain victory

The latest measurements of Newspoll, Ipsos and Essential all are now showing the federal election mood as 49% for the Coalition to 51% to Labor. That is a long way short of justifying the "Labor is on the way to certain victory" mood that dominates my Twitter feed after the weekend by-elections. On the contrary it suggests that while Malcom Turnbull might not be favourite to retain the Prime Ministership he is still well and truly in the contest.
If PM Turnbull really believes that company tax cuts are the right thing to do then there is no evidence in the opinion poll results to abandon that policy. Voters, maybe grudgingly, tend to prefer leaders who stick to their guns rather than abandon beliefs when backbenchers start worrying

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