Tuesday, 13 March 2018

The South Australian election: kicking Nick now that he appears down

It's interesting being in South Australia in election week and getting a taste of the Nick Xenophon bashing that seems to be the major topic of political conversation. The fellow is certainly paying a price for those early opinion polls that showed his SA Best party as more popular than Liberal and Labor. He is under attack by all and sundry with the Greens sounding the bitchiest of all. No party has done SA Best any favours when it comes to preferences. This afternoon the Adelaide Advertiser has even produced a poll showing that Xenophon will not even win the seat of Hartley that he quit the Senate to contest. Bookmakers quickly reacted to that news and their markets now put the chances of winning thus:

Liberal (Tarzia)48%
SA Best (Xenophon)43%
Labor (Portelesi)5%

At the broader level this is what the markets currently show:

A hung parliament?

Party of next Premier
SA Best8%

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