The Rudd led Labor revival

For the Crikey website, (behind a paywall but they are the kind people who pay me my living wage), I produce a weekly alternative to opinion poll watching in the form of an election indicator based on what the markets are predicting the election result will be. These predictions have proved remarkably accurate over the years, not only in Australia but in other countries as well.
Here's the pattern of the year so far which shows that Labor, having changed its leader, is now back to where it was in February.

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