Monday, 9 November 2009

Steady as she goes

Well I guess we can conclude after the publication of the Morgan and AC Nielsen versions of the state of Australian political opinion that the people have not gone bonkers enough to change their views by seven percentage points in a fortnight as Newspoll indicated last week. The two pollster verdicts this weekend both have support for Labor in two party preferred terms dropping by an insignificant one point. There’s certainly nothing very cheering for an Opposition to know that two out of the three national pollsters have it getting a complete hiding while even that latest Newspoll would see it well and truly beaten.
Once again I will rely on the opinion of the market with the CrikeyElection Indicator showing only a slight decline in the probability of a Labor victory — down to 79% from 80% a week ago.

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