So what did the shock poll result actually show? Labor in front 52 to 48.7 News at 6pm: The exclusive poll result which could change the course of the federal election. #7News pic.twitter.com/ikHUpWNocE— 7 News Sydney (@7NewsSydney) May 27, 2016
And what's the normal error in polls this far from election day. Around 3.5 to 4 percentage points. (See When Should You Start Worrying About the Polls?)
So the exclusive result is Labor probably somewhere between 48 and 56.
The betting market, meanwhile, has the Coalition at $1.33 and Labor at $3.70