Goodness knows what to say about the opinion polls. In the last two days we have had Morgan putting Labor's two party preferred vote share at 57.5% and apparently AC Nielsen in the morning has them on 53%. I just don't believe that public opinion moves in as dramatic a fashion as these and the other pollsters are telling us.
I'll stick with the market as providing the best guide and at midnight it suggested Labor was at about 52.3% nationally. Making a few adjustments to suggest that Labor is doing worse than that in Queensland and NSW and better in Victoria and South Australia the best guess by electorate follows: