The Coalition like generals fighting the last war?

When you cannot think of anything new to do I guess it's natural to do what you have done before. That's the Liberal-National coalition approach to the 2019 election. Scott Morrison is trying to do a John Howard Tampa fright or a Tony Abbott shotgun style scare campaign. The Prime Minister's National Press Club speech on Monday set the tone. He elaborated on the horrors confronting us all:
People smuggling, natural disasters, organised crime, money laundering, biosecurity hazards, cyber security, the evil ice trade, violence against women
In the House of Representatives today the PM's target was more specific with boat people the target.
Bill Shorten and the Labor Party do not have the mettle, do not have what is required, and do not understand what is necessary to ensure that Australia’s border protection framework … can be managed by the Labor Party.
These comments met with applause from the normal pundits on talk radio and Sky News at night. But do these sentiments really reflect a general movement in support back to the Coalition? The opinion polls by Newspoll and Essential suggest not.
But perhaps a better guide is that most of the independent members in the House voted against the government on medical treatment in Australia for those confined on Manus and Nauru. They have self-interest in mind as much as any other MP and their votes suggest that they do not see being compassionate as a vote loser.
Nor does the Betfair election betting market.
Labor $1.22 (82.4% chance)
L/NP Coalition $5.70 (17.6% chance)
The past is not always the best guide to the future

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