Nick Xenophon's irrelevant television ad but he still looks the government maker

The Owl doesn't think that advertisements during an election campaign actually have much influence on the final result. In his experience it is a matter of what will be will be. So he believes all the discussion about the impact that Nick Xenophon's South Australia Best television spot will have is irrelevant. But here it is and you can judge for yourself.



What does seem clear is that SA Best will probably be the deciding factor in which party provides the state's next Premier. There's also a realistic possibility of Nick Xenophon himself ending up with the top job

WHAT THE BETTING MARKETS SAY
The Owl has taken the prices of the major corporate bookmakers and converted them into probabilities.

Party of next Premier
Labor 39%
Liberal 31%
SA Best 30%
100%

No. of SA Best seats
11 or More Seats39%
9 or 10 Seats16%
7 or 8 Seats12%
5 or 6 Seats11%
3 or 4 Seats9%
1 or 2 Seats8%
No seats5%
100%

As always, the Owl, as a believer in the wisdom of crowds, is interested in the opinion of his readers. So please have a say below.

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