Saturday, 17 March 2012

Red meat: What is a 13% increase in the risk of death?


Eating an extra portion of red meat every day will increase your risk of death by 13% annually, according to a new study. It sounds scary - but is it?
... according to David Spiegelhalter, a Cambridge University biostatistician, and the Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk ... [for] two friends are men aged 40, who are the same weight, do the same amount of exercise and do the same job:
"The person who eats more meat is expected to live one year less than the person who doesn't eat so much meat. You'd expect the 40-year-old who does eat the extra meat to live, on average, another 39 years, up to age 79, and the person who doesn't eat so much meat, you'd expect him to live until age 80."
So all those headlines, and it turns out we are talking about whether you might live to age 79 or 80.
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